This data is courtesy of Dan Shapiro.
As there are only so many people and hours in the day, the market for human attention is finite. Hollywood is spending more money to make TV and movies, but its market share is declining. People, especially younger people, are far more likely to watch videos on the internet made by small creators. Needless to say, the small content creators’ costs are vastly cheaper. AI is rapidly making them cheaper still.
And it’s not just that small creators using AI-generation will displace Hollywood’s existing efforts; they are likely to create new artforms that will displace the old screen/broadcast formats of TV shows & movies too. AI-gen artforms, as yet uninvented, may be real-time rendered, personalized for individuals, hyper-niche, etc, etc
This is all part of a surprising trend with AI, its tendency towards decentralization. Some dommerist nightmares see all powerful corporations in the future, but as with open-source AI & robotics equalling the Big Tech efforts, the trend seems more for AI’s power to be dispersed.
Run a pretrained model, which was trained on massive data sets. That’s still absolutely centralized.
You aren’t going to have enough data to train a model from scratch on your desktop.
You’re grasping so hard. If you have a model that you can run locally and do what you want with it, then it’s not an issue that a single entity made it. What do you expect, a whole bunch of people huddled around a keyboard pushing all the keys together so that a single entity doesn’t make it? Ai is here, it’s improving rapidly, accept it and prepare, or be left far, far behind. There are enough people who are not blindly religiously anti-ai that they will be able to put their influence into the world while you scream your throat out at an empty wall.
The issue isn’t that a single entity made it, the issue is that the single entity that made it is operating at a loss. Training LLMs is a massive investment of energy, material, and finance capital. They can operate at a loss for now because they’re being pumped with liquidity from investors eager to get in on the next hype wave. That won’t last, investors will eventually expect profits and when these companies can’t produce those profits investors will pull out. AI isn’t here. These are chatbots.
You don’t think they’re actually intelligent, do you?
By your definition, everything is centralized because no one is making the tools they use. You don’t have the skills to build a photo editing software or a chainsaw either.
The photo editing software and chainsaw aren’t made artificially cheap by companies operating at a loss by burning investor capital.
I’m not sure what that has to do with what I was saying; that it isn’t centralized as you said.
Artificially cheap seems like a buzzword. I’m not sure what you mean but I can guarantee that a lot of chainsaws are cheaply made and Adobe definitely showcases “cheap” behavior. It has nothing to do with centralisation in any case.
In the same vein, a lot of ground breaking technologies started at a loss. I don’t think all AI companies are running at a lost but some are doing it for our benefit, mainly the ones releasing free models with open minded licenses.