Since near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4 was first discovered in December 2024, NASA and the worldwide planetary defense community have continued to observe the asteroid, which was ruled out as a significant impact risk to Earth. New infrared observations from NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope have decreased the uncertainty of the asteroid’s size and 2024 YR4...
I made a calculation a few weeks ago with the data available at the time, which put the odds at 1.94%. That same calculation now gives 3.7%, so I guess I did a pretty good job.
Fingers crossed it ends up impacting, that would be quite the sight to behold.
I made a calculation a few weeks ago with the data available at the time, which put the odds at 1.94%. That same calculation now gives 3.7%, so I guess I did a pretty good job.
Fingers crossed it ends up impacting, that would be quite the sight to behold.