They’re copying Nixon’s “Madman Theory”, where by being violent and unpredictable they can extract greater concessions from their opponents. This is your “De-Escalation through Escalation” they were talking about a while ago.
Israel now views this as an existential conflict and is trying to disable their opponents while they still have enough munitions to do so.
S-400 is possibly the best AA system in the world that is in serial manufacturing (there’s also S-500 which is even better, but afaik still in testing). For comparison, in 2019 Iran shot down most modern US stealth drone worth 200 million with old Soviet missile from 60’s and using domestically produced radar and guidance system.
They may see with the US risking getting into a war with Russia and wanting a war with China that their own time to pull the US into a conflict to settle the region’s problems in their favor using the might of the US is quickly drawing to a close and will likely not exist in a few years so why let a crisis go to waste when they can try and get the US to take out Iran and Hezbollah for them which would allow greater “isreal” to become a reality. It’s an expansionist mindset too. Also fascists gonna fascist.
The only way towards de-escalation is coming to the negotiating table with Hamas. Negotiating with Hamas sets a bad precedent and, in the long term, compromise’s the entity’s ability to keep Palestine down. Their economy is already severely compromised as it is, so I think that going out with some kind of last hurrah and trying to accomplish all their goals at once is probably more appealing than having to back down, recover, and attempt to do it all again a decade from now.
US is out here using WW3 to unify it’s own citizens who are currently heading towards civil war behind jingoistic wartime patriotism, while also being a huge boon to the US economy through wartime production.
The realpolitik ghoul reason would be that they’re trying to start a big enough war that the only way the US can secure its interests in the region is to get directly involved, saving Israel from the consequences of its other aggressions.
But I don’t think it’s actually realpolitik ghouls in charge, I think they’ve just got nazis at the helm, and nazis think that all problems can be solved by attacking the weak, and all people are weaker than them.
Does anyone here have a guess as to why Israel is trying to solo the entire
Arab worldMiddle East in the middle of an ongoing colonial uprising?I can think of two possibilities:
I hope they lose
Iran isnt in the arab world
The fuck, how did I just learn this today
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Brainbeam didn’t work
Yeah I’m already not looking forward to all the times I’m going to have to correct people referring to Iranians as “Arabs”
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Sorry to be daft, but what’s this Russia supplying Iran with air weapons thing?
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Very cool and interesting. Thanks for the effort post.
FFS
Is there something special about the technology, or is it just that Iran has poor air defense and generic tech would fix that?
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S-400 is possibly the best AA system in the world that is in serial manufacturing (there’s also S-500 which is even better, but afaik still in testing). For comparison, in 2019 Iran shot down most modern US stealth drone worth 200 million with old Soviet missile from 60’s and using domestically produced radar and guidance system.
lebensraum speedrun any%
Israel doesn’t solo anything. They are a hand of the US wearing a blue and white flag
They may see with the US risking getting into a war with Russia and wanting a war with China that their own time to pull the US into a conflict to settle the region’s problems in their favor using the might of the US is quickly drawing to a close and will likely not exist in a few years so why let a crisis go to waste when they can try and get the US to take out Iran and Hezbollah for them which would allow greater “isreal” to become a reality. It’s an expansionist mindset too. Also fascists gonna fascist.
The only way towards de-escalation is coming to the negotiating table with Hamas. Negotiating with Hamas sets a bad precedent and, in the long term, compromise’s the entity’s ability to keep Palestine down. Their economy is already severely compromised as it is, so I think that going out with some kind of last hurrah and trying to accomplish all their goals at once is probably more appealing than having to back down, recover, and attempt to do it all again a decade from now.
because the US wants this – gotta get WW3 nice and hot without having the blame
US is out here using WW3 to unify it’s own citizens who are currently heading towards civil war behind jingoistic wartime patriotism, while also being a huge boon to the US economy through wartime production.
WW2 was great for the US, why wouldn’t WW3?
that seems pretty on the mark. i recall my high school teacher talking about WW2 as if it were one of the greatest things to ever happen in history
The realpolitik ghoul reason would be that they’re trying to start a big enough war that the only way the US can secure its interests in the region is to get directly involved, saving Israel from the consequences of its other aggressions.
But I don’t think it’s actually realpolitik ghouls in charge, I think they’ve just got nazis at the helm, and nazis think that all problems can be solved by attacking the weak, and all people are weaker than them.