I think 10x is a reasonable long term goal, given continued improvements in models, agentic systems, tooling, and proper use of them.

It’s close already for some use cases, for example understanding a new code base with the help of cursor agent is kind of insane.

We’ve only had these tools for a few years, and I expect software development will be unrecognizable in ten more.

Essentially, yes. Great point! I think it needs more features to function more like a social network (transitive topic-based sharing, for one)

Hah, I designed one as well!

I think the flow of information has to be fundamentally different.

In mine, people only receive data directly from people they know and trust in real life. This makes scaling easy, and makes it impossible for centralized entities to broadcast propaganda to everyone at once.

I described it at freetheinter.net if you’re interested

relative to where we were before LLMs, I think we’re quite close

the extent that Trump has gone to remove barriers to committing atrocities likely corresponds to the extent he intends to commit them

we have to use trust from real life. it’s the only thing that centralized entities can’t fake

I think we have to build systems that use real-life interpersonal trust networks so that centralized entities cannot just outspend and bot their way to prominence.

I think the key is building a social information system based on connections we have in real life. Key exchange parties, etc

It’s the only way to introduce a prohibitively high cost to centralized broadcast and reduce the power of these mega-entities

that would be awesome, assuming they’re all evil, but destroys the principle of faith

I’m pretty sure that the ruse, if there is one, must be impossible to prove

With an optimum design, bipedal robots are likely more power efficient. Read up on the efficiency of the human gait to understand why.

In practice though, it’s really challenging to get an optimum design (the current state of the art is not even close), so polypeds are better from a practicality standpoint.

Totally agree - RoR is one of my all time favorites. Its strategic elegance and style just didn’t survive the translation to 3D

1800 hours in Noita. Just last week started what’s become a perfect god run (circle of vigor and transmuted all polymorphing liquids) to get the golden necklace and consider it beaten.

Really funny that this game isn’t even on anyone else’s list. I guess I really am special, haha

It’s really just the DMCA.

This kind of faultless takedown shouldn’t be legal, but the DMCA carved it out decades ago.

Russians will be granted amnesty because of their willingness to accept our deportations into their labor camps.

I use various models on a daily basis (as a software/infrastructure developer), and can say that the reason they are able to sell AI is that it’s really useful.

Like any tool, you have to work with its strengths and weaknesses, and it’s very much a matter of “shit in, shit out.”

For example, it can easily get confused with complicated requests, so they must be narrowly focused. Breaking large problems down into smaller ones is a normal part of problem solving, so this doesn’t detract from its utility.

Also, it sometimes just makes shit up, so it’s absolutely necessary to thoroughly test everything it outputs. Test-driven development has been around for a long time, so that’s not really a problem either.

It’s more of a booksmart intern assistant than a professional software engineer, but used in this way it’s a great productivity booster.

A companion generator for God.

noita

I’m closing in on 2000 hours, and it’s such a great game if you like challenges and discovery.

I started playing it after one of the devs said, “I don’t think anyone will ever make another game like it.”

It’s a terrific implementation of a very pure concept.

I really hope that, despite the development challenge it may present, “noitalike” becomes a thing.

I think it’s an engine that would integrate really well with ML world/asset generation, too.

but for how long?

servers are for availability and storage durability

I think it sounds cool ¯\_ (ツ)_/¯

Maybe this is the point, but that might cause SUVs to be prohibitively unsafe, because their center of momentum would be so high relative to impact height. For example, if an SUV with one of these low bumpers hit a barrier, it would probably perform a front flip over it 😂